UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Oleynik vs Dowda

2,070

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Oleynik

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
94% chance Oleynik
WILL WIN

1,581

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Alexey Oleynik
Much better submission offense 10.0 vs 7.4 More than 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.4 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 8.3 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.0 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly heavier 239 lbs vs 184 lbs Around 30% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Daniel Dowda
Significantly heavier hands 6.6 vs 6.1 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Oleynik on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Dowda’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexey
Oleynik
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Oleynik is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Oleynik has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Oleynik is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
Dowda on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Oleynik’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Daniel
Dowda
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Dowda is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Dowda is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Dowda is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Oleynik 6.1
fighter Dowda 6.6
Great knockouts by Dowda
Round 1 Oct 25, 2014 vs Nagorski

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Oleynik 10.0
fighter Dowda 7.4
Great submissions by Oleynik
Round 1 Nov 08, 2013 vs Filipovic
Round 2 Jun 20, 2013 vs Monson
Round 3 Apr 20, 2013 vs Lopez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Oleynik 9.4
fighter Dowda 7.4
Fast finishes by Oleynik
282 seconds Nov 08, 2013 vs Filipovic
508 seconds Jun 20, 2013 vs Monson
129 seconds Nov 10, 2007 vs Kulak
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 9, 2008KSW 9
team
VS
team
R2 DECX
R3 SUBX
1,9081,646
1,9271,628
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Oleynik
legend Dowda
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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