UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Baker vs Formann

1,464

CageRank

WINNER
Formann

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
64% chance Formann
WILL WIN

1,567

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Shawn Formann
Much stronger jaw 8.2 vs 7.1 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.2 vs 7.0 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 8.0 vs 7.1 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Dan Baker
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.8 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly fast finishes 7.2 vs 7.1 Almost the same
Formann on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Baker’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shawn
Formann
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Formann is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Formann is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Formann has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Baker on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Formann’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dan
Baker
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Baker is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Baker is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Baker has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Formann 6.9
fighter Baker 7.3
Great submissions by Baker
Round 2 Jul 15, 2006 vs Baines

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Formann 7.1
fighter Baker 7.2
Fast finishes by Baker
450 seconds Jul 15, 2006 vs Baines
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 12, 2008BCX 5
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 SUB
1,4951,629
1,4641,661
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Formann
legend Baker
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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