UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jones vs Teixeira

1,369

CageRank

WINNER
Teixeira

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
99% chance Teixeira
WILL WIN

2,168

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Glover Teixeira
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 6.9 Around 40% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 9.0 vs 7.0 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.4 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 7.0 Around 35% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.7 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense 9.3 vs 7.6 More than 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Much better submission defense 9.1 vs 7.1 Around 30% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Carlton Jones
Significantly heavier 255 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 25% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Teixeira on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Glover
Teixeira
In 1:24, how much damage will he do? Teixeira Jones
Significant Strikes10
Teixeira's excellent striking offense will dominate Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 13 Significant Strikes in 1:24
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Teixeira's excellent takedown offense will dominate Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 1:24
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Teixeira has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Teixeira has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Teixeira is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Jones on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Teixeira’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carlton
Jones
In 1:24, how much damage will he do? Jones Teixeira
Significant Strikes5
Jones's average striking offense is matched by Teixeira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 13 Significant Strikes in 1:24
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Jones's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Teixeira's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 1 Takedowns in 1:24
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jones is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jones is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jones is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Teixeira 9.4
fighter Jones 8.1
Great striking by Teixeira
14 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs Bader
12 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Te-Huna
80 strikes Jan 26, 2013 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Teixeira 9.3
fighter Jones 8.3
Great takedowns by Teixeira
1 takedown Sep 04, 2013 vs Bader
1 takedown May 25, 2013 vs Te-Huna
5 takedowns Jan 26, 2013 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Teixeira 9.0
fighter Jones 7.0
Great knockouts by Teixeira
Round 1 Sep 04, 2013 vs Bader
Round 2 Oct 13, 2012 vs Maldonado
Round 2 Jul 20, 2011 vs Cruz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Teixeira 8.0
fighter Jones 6.7
Great submissions by Teixeira
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Te-Huna
Round 1 May 26, 2012 vs Kingsbury
Round 1 Nov 27, 2011 vs Rodriguez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Teixeira 9.5
fighter Jones 6.9
Fast finishes by Teixeira
175 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Bader
158 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Te-Huna
118 seconds Nov 27, 2011 vs Rodriguez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 5, 2006WEC 20
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR2 KO
1,4931,577
1,4551,615
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Teixeira
legend Jones
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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