UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Burns vs Grant

1,722

CageRank

WINNER
Grant

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
92% chance Grant
WILL WIN

2,138

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for T.J. Grant
Much stronger jaw 9.2 vs 7.7 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.0 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better takedown defense 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 33 years vs 37 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.9 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Kevin Burns
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Grant on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Burns’s defensive skills
Predictions For
T.J.
Grant
In 10:17, how much damage will he do? Grant Burns
Significant Strikes67
Grant's excellent striking offense will dominate Burns's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 93 Significant Strikes in 10:17
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Grant's average takedown offense is matched by Burns's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:17
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Grant has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Grant has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Grant has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Burns on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Grant’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kevin
Burns
In 10:17, how much damage will he do? Burns Grant
Significant Strikes51
Burns's average striking offense is matched by Grant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 93 Significant Strikes in 10:17
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Burns's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Grant's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:17
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Burns is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Burns has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Burns is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Grant 9.1
fighter Burns 8.4
Great striking by Grant
26 strikes May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
54 strikes Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
164 strikes Sep 22, 2012 vs Dunham

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Grant 8.1
fighter Burns 7.9
Great takedowns by Grant
3 takedowns May 15, 2012 vs Prater
2 takedowns Oct 01, 2011 vs Roller
4 takedowns Sep 25, 2010 vs Paulino

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Grant 7.7
fighter Burns 7.0
Great knockouts by Grant
Round 1 May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
Round 1 Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
Round 1 Dec 12, 2009 vs Burns

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Grant 8.2
fighter Burns 8.2
Great submissions by Burns
Round 2 Jun 07, 2008 vs Carneiro
Round 1 Apr 20, 2007 vs Westbrook
Round 1 Dec 09, 2006 vs Delanoit

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Grant 8.3
fighter Burns 8.2
Fast finishes by Grant
127 seconds May 25, 2013 vs Maynard
291 seconds Jan 26, 2013 vs Wiman
732 seconds Oct 01, 2011 vs Roller
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 12, 2009UFC 107
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 SUB
1,7431,897
1,7131,926
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Grant
legend Burns
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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