UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Geraghty vs Lee

1,694

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Geraghty

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
58% chance Geraghty
WILL WIN

1,639

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Brian Geraghty
Much better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.0 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 37 years vs 40 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Mike Lee
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
A lot taller 180 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Geraghty on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lee’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brian
Geraghty
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Geraghty is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Geraghty is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Geraghty is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Lee on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Geraghty’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mike
Lee
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lee is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lee is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lee is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Geraghty 6.8
fighter Lee 6.8
Great knockouts by Geraghty
Round 4 Oct 09, 2010 vs Castro
Round 3 Jan 10, 2009 vs Love
Round 1 May 24, 2003 vs Lee

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Geraghty 7.3
fighter Lee 7.3
Great submissions by Lee
Round 1 Aug 11, 2001 vs Young
Round 1 Jun 13, 2000 vs Byrket
Round 1 Jul 25, 1998 vs Stubbs

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Geraghty 7.3
fighter Lee 7.9
Fast finishes by Lee
52 seconds Jul 10, 2010 vs Moore
45 seconds Aug 11, 2001 vs Young
141 seconds Jun 13, 2000 vs Byrket
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR1 SUB
1,5131,610
1,5771,546
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Geraghty
legend Lee
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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