UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Geraghty vs Kirk

1,694

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Geraghty

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
79% chance Geraghty
WILL WIN

1,467

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Brian Geraghty
Much better submission defense 9.2 vs 7.2 Around 30% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.2 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 7.3 vs 6.6 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 6.8 vs 6.4 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Tom Kirk
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Geraghty on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kirk’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brian
Geraghty
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Geraghty is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Geraghty has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Geraghty is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Kirk on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Geraghty’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tom
Kirk
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kirk is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kirk is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kirk has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Geraghty 6.8
fighter Kirk 6.4
Great knockouts by Geraghty
Round 4 Oct 09, 2010 vs Castro
Round 3 Jan 10, 2009 vs Love
Round 1 May 24, 2003 vs Lee

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Geraghty 7.3
fighter Kirk 6.2
Great submissions by Geraghty
Round 3 Jun 05, 2010 vs Strawn
Round 1 Mar 06, 2004 vs Sogla
Round 2 Feb 07, 2004 vs Lee

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Geraghty 7.3
fighter Kirk 6.6
Fast finishes by Geraghty
867 seconds Jun 05, 2010 vs Strawn
166 seconds Mar 06, 2004 vs Sogla
53 seconds May 24, 2003 vs Lee
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 11, 2003FCC 9
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
R2 SUBX
1,6101,476
1,5421,544
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Geraghty
legend Kirk
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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