UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Geraghty vs Masvidal

1,694

CageRank

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
92% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

2,125

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier hands 7.5 vs 6.8 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.0 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 185 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 180 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 33 years vs 37 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Brian Geraghty
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Geraghty’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Geraghty
Significant Strikes90
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Geraghty's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Masvidal's good takedown offense may be a factor against Geraghty's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Geraghty on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brian
Geraghty
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Geraghty Masvidal
Significant Strikes50
Geraghty's average striking offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Geraghty's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Geraghty is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Geraghty is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Geraghty is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Geraghty 8.2
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Geraghty 8.3
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Geraghty 6.8
Great knockouts by Masvidal
Round 2 Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
Round 1 Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
Round 1 Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Geraghty 7.3
Great submissions by Geraghty
Round 3 Jun 05, 2010 vs Strawn
Round 1 Mar 06, 2004 vs Sogla
Round 2 Feb 07, 2004 vs Lee

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Geraghty 7.3
Fast finishes by Masvidal
503 seconds Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
79 seconds Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
117 seconds Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 19, 2003AFC 4
team
VS
team
XR2 DEC
R2 SUBX
1,5771,559
1,5241,611
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Geraghty
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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