UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Coy vs Cummings

1,895

CageRank

WINNER
Cummings

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
52% chance Cummings
WILL WIN

1,907

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Zak Cummings
Fast finishes 8.4 vs 7.2 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.0 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 32 years vs 38 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Nathan Coy
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Cummings on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Coy’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Zak
Cummings
In 10:13, how much damage will he do? Cummings Coy
Significant Strikes37
Cummings's average striking offense is matched by Coy's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 92 Significant Strikes in 10:13
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Cummings's average takedown offense is matched by Coy's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:13
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cummings is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Cummings has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cummings is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Coy on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cummings’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nathan
Coy
In 10:13, how much damage will he do? Coy Cummings
Significant Strikes48
Coy's average striking offense is matched by Cummings's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 92 Significant Strikes in 10:13
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Coy's good takedown offense may be a factor against Cummings's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:13
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Coy is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Coy is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Coy has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cummings 7.1
fighter Coy 7.1
Great knockouts by Cummings
Round 1 May 09, 2009 vs Brown
Round 2 Sep 13, 2008 vs Pla
Round 1 Aug 31, 2007 vs George

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cummings 8.2
fighter Coy 7.0
Great submissions by Cummings
Round 1 Aug 28, 2013 vs Alloway
Round 1 Aug 26, 2010 vs Bears
Round 2 Apr 25, 2008 vs Moreno

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cummings 8.4
fighter Coy 7.2
Fast finishes by Cummings
259 seconds Aug 28, 2013 vs Alloway
87 seconds Aug 26, 2010 vs Bears
439 seconds Apr 25, 2008 vs Moreno
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cummings
legend Coy
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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