UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Fenner vs Chiesa

1,457

CageRank

WINNER
Chiesa

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
95% chance Chiesa
WILL WIN

1,954

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Michael Chiesa
Much better submission offense 8.8 vs 6.8 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 6.9 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 6.8 More than 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 8.6 vs 7.5 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better submission defense 8.0 vs 6.9 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Darrell Fenner
Heavier hands 6.6 vs 6.2 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Chiesa on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fenner’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Chiesa
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Chiesa is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Chiesa has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Chiesa is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Fenner on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Chiesa’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Darrell
Fenner
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fenner is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Fenner is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Fenner is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Chiesa 6.2
fighter Fenner 6.6
Great knockouts by Fenner
Round 1 Apr 03, 2009 vs Ensley
Round 1 Sep 13, 2008 vs Armstrong

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Chiesa 8.8
fighter Fenner 6.8
Great submissions by Chiesa
Round 2 Nov 06, 2013 vs Smith
Round 2 Feb 23, 2013 vs Kuivanen
Round 1 Jun 01, 2012 vs Iaquinta

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Chiesa 8.2
fighter Fenner 6.9
Fast finishes by Chiesa
449 seconds Feb 23, 2013 vs Kuivanen
167 seconds Jun 01, 2012 vs Iaquinta
133 seconds Jul 16, 2011 vs Coble
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 1, 2011CS - CageSport 16
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,4861,775
1,4701,791
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Chiesa
legend Fenner
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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