UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Pena vs Shevchenko

1,644

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Pena

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
54% chance Pena
WILL WIN

1,617

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Julianna Pena
Stronger jaw 7.9 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 7.4 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 170 cm vs 165 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Valentina Shevchenko
Significantly heavier hands 7.7 vs 7.2 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Pena on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Shevchenko’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Julianna
Pena
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pena has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Pena has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Pena is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Shevchenko on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pena’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Valentina
Shevchenko
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Shevchenko has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Shevchenko is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Shevchenko is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Pena 7.2
fighter Shevchenko 7.7
Great knockouts by Shevchenko
Round 2 Feb 26, 2014 vs Bastos
Round 1 Dec 18, 2013 vs Orellana
Round 2 Apr 21, 2003 vs Aidaralieva

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Pena 7.4
fighter Shevchenko 7.2
Great submissions by Pena
Round 2 Dec 15, 2011 vs Swatez
Round 2 Dec 05, 2009 vs Webber
Round 1 Feb 28, 2009 vs Hernandez

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Pena 7.5
fighter Shevchenko 7.8
Fast finishes by Shevchenko
50 seconds Dec 18, 2013 vs Orellana
71 seconds Mar 03, 2006 vs Nemtsova
69 seconds Jul 09, 2005 vs Aeh Kim
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Pena
legend Shevchenko
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
Pena will gas and because she will not be ready to fight at altitude. She will lose because of this oversight
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