Harris Sarmiento The Hitman 35-26

Weight 144 lbs
Height 5' 6"
Reach
Age 35

Nick Diaz 26-9

169 lbs
6' 1"
76"
35

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sarmiento vs Diaz

CageRank

95% chance Diaz
WILL WIN

CageRank

WINNER

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Nick Diaz

Fast finishes	8.7	vs	6.8	Around 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands	8.4	vs	6.3	Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker	9.7	vs	8.1	Around 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better submission offense	8.0	vs	6.4	Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense	8.8	vs	7.7	Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
A lot taller	185 cm	vs	168 cm	More than 10% taller
Puts up a fight	9.9	vs	8.8	More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw	9.8	vs	9.0	Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission defense	9.5	vs	8.7	Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier	169 lbs	vs	144 lbs	More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control

Advantages for Harris Sarmiento

Much stronger takedown offense

8.4

7.6

More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat

Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sarmiento’s defensive skills

Predictions For Nick Diaz
In 15:00, how much damage will he do?	Diaz		Sarmiento
Significant Strikes111 Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Sarmiento's defense Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00	Excellent Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3 Diaz's below average takedown offense is matched by Sarmiento's defense Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00	Below average Takedown ability	vs	Below average Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission	Excellent Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by decision	Average Scoring ability	vs	Average Scoring ability

Sarmiento on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills

Predictions For Harris Sarmiento
In 15:00, how much damage will he do?	Sarmiento		Diaz
Significant Strikes63 Sarmiento's average striking offense is matched by Diaz's defense Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00	Average Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2 Sarmiento's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Diaz's defense Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00	Average Takedown ability	vs	Good Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Sarmiento is unlikely to win by knockout	Weak Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Sarmiento is unlikely to win by submission	Poor Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Sarmiento has a reasonable chance to win by decision	Average Scoring ability	vs	Average Scoring ability