CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - Sarmiento vs Diaz
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nick Diaz
Fast finishes | 8.7 | vs | 6.8 | Around 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
Much heavier hands | 8.4 | vs | 6.3 | Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders |
Better striker | 9.7 | vs | 8.1 | Around 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders |
Much better submission offense | 8.0 | vs | 6.4 | Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win |
Much better takedown defense | 8.8 | vs | 7.7 | Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down |
Much taller | 185 cm | vs | 168 cm | More than 10% taller |
Puts up a fight | 9.9 | vs | 8.8 | More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds |
Significantly stronger jaw | 9.8 | vs | 9.0 | Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions |
Significantly better submission defense | 9.5 | vs | 8.7 | Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap |
Heavier | 169 lbs | vs | 144 lbs | More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control |
Advantages for Harris Sarmiento
Much stronger takedown offense | 8.4 | vs | 7.6 | More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat |
Diaz on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sarmiento’s defensive skills
Predictions For Nick Diaz |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? | Diaz | Sarmiento | |
Significant Strikes111
Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Sarmiento's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00 |
Excellent
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns3
Diaz's below average takedown offense is matched by Sarmiento's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00 |
Below average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission |
Excellent
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by decision |
Average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Average
Scoring ability
|
Sarmiento on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For Harris Sarmiento |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? | Sarmiento | Diaz | |
Significant Strikes63
Sarmiento's average striking offense is matched by Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00 |
Average
Striking
|
vs |
Average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns2
Sarmiento's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00 |
Average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Sarmiento is unlikely to win by knockout |
Weak
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Sarmiento is unlikely to win by submission |
Poor
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Sarmiento has a reasonable chance to win by decision |
Average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Average
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?Great striking by Diaz
178 strikes | Oct 29, 2011 | vs Penn |
44 strikes | Apr 09, 2011 | vs Daley |
13 strikes | Feb 05, 2005 | vs Fickett |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?Great knockouts by Diaz
Round 1 | Apr 09, 2011 | vs Daley |
Round 1 | Jan 30, 2010 | vs Zaromskis |
Round 1 | Feb 05, 2005 | vs Fickett |
submissions
Who can finish it on the ground?Great submissions by Diaz
Round 1 | May 29, 2010 | vs Sakurai |
Round 3 | Jun 06, 2009 | vs Smith |
Round 3 | Aug 26, 2006 | vs Neer |
Fast finishes
Who can end the fight faster? Fast finishes by Diaz
297 seconds | Apr 09, 2011 | vs Daley |
278 seconds | Jan 30, 2010 | vs Zaromskis |
280 seconds | Feb 05, 2005 | vs Fickett |
Fight History
Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight


Read More
Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?