UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Whittaker vs Souza

1,824

CageRank

WINNER
Souza

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
92% chance Souza
WILL WIN

2,245

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronaldo Souza
Much harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 7.6 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 7.3 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.0 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Robert Whittaker
Significantly younger 26 years vs 37 years Around 30% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 184 lbs vs 183 lbs Almost the same
Souza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Whittaker’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronaldo
Souza
In 6:00, how much damage will he do? Souza Whittaker
Significant Strikes36
Souza's good striking offense may be a factor against Whittaker's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 54 Significant Strikes in 6:00
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Souza's excellent takedown offense will dominate Whittaker's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Souza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Souza has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Souza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Whittaker on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Souza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Robert
Whittaker
In 6:00, how much damage will he do? Whittaker Souza
Significant Strikes18
Whittaker's good striking offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 54 Significant Strikes in 6:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Whittaker's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Whittaker is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Whittaker is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Whittaker is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Souza 8.7
fighter Whittaker 8.7
Great striking by Souza
28 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
12 strikes Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
47 strikes Aug 21, 2010 vs Kennedy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Souza 9.2
fighter Whittaker 8.0
Great takedowns by Souza
2 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Herman
4 takedowns Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
3 takedowns Jun 15, 2008 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Souza 7.3
fighter Whittaker 7.8
Great knockouts by Whittaker
Round 3 May 25, 2013 vs Smith
Round 1 Mar 23, 2012 vs Spooner
Round 2 Dec 09, 2011 vs Bone

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Souza 9.0
fighter Whittaker 7.3
Great submissions by Souza
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
Round 3 Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Lindland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Souza 9.4
fighter Whittaker 7.6
Fast finishes by Souza
167 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
217 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
720 seconds Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Souza
legend Whittaker
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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