UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Goncalves vs dos Santos

1,766

CageRank

WINNER
dos Santos

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
87% chance dos Santos
WILL WIN

2,091

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Junior dos Santos
Much heavier hands 9.2 vs 7.1 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.4 vs 7.7 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.1 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 239 lbs vs 205 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 33 years vs 39 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Jair Goncalves
Much better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.9 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
dos Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Goncalves’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Junior
dos Santos
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Santos has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
dos Santos is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
dos Santos is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Goncalves on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jair
Goncalves
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Goncalves is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Goncalves has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Goncalves is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter dos Santos 9.2
fighter Goncalves 7.1
Great knockouts by dos Santos
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs Mir
Round 1 Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
Round 1 Oct 25, 2008 vs Werdum

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter dos Santos 6.9
fighter Goncalves 8.0
Great submissions by Goncalves
Round 1 Apr 17, 2011 vs Turek
Round 1 Sep 27, 2008 vs Jurkowski
Round 1 Nov 26, 2005 vs Valavicius

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter dos Santos 8.6
fighter Goncalves 8.3
Fast finishes by dos Santos
484 seconds May 26, 2012 vs Mir
64 seconds Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
81 seconds Oct 25, 2008 vs Werdum
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 29, 2007MTL - Mo Team League 2
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR2 KO
1,5991,681
1,5611,720
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend dos Santos
legend Goncalves
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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