UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Luiz Moura vs Palhares

1,781

CageRank

WINNER
Palhares

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
86% chance Palhares
WILL WIN

2,100

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rousimar Palhares
Much better submission offense 9.7 vs 8.0 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.6 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.0 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Younger 37 years vs 41 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Heavier hands 6.3 vs 6.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Flavio Luiz Moura
Significantly better striker 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 186 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Palhares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Luiz Moura’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rousimar
Palhares
In 4:20, how much damage will he do? Palhares Luiz Moura
Significant Strikes10
Palhares's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Luiz Moura's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 39 Significant Strikes in 4:20
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Palhares's average takedown offense is matched by Luiz Moura's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:20
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Palhares is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Palhares has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Palhares is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Luiz Moura on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Palhares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Flavio
Luiz Moura
In 4:20, how much damage will he do? Luiz Moura Palhares
Significant Strikes12
Luiz Moura's average striking offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 39 Significant Strikes in 4:20
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Luiz Moura's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:20
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Luiz Moura is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Luiz Moura has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Luiz Moura is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Palhares 8.3
fighter Luiz Moura 8.1
Great takedowns by Palhares
2 takedowns Aug 27, 2011 vs Miller
1 takedown Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares
7 takedowns Jan 17, 2009 vs Horn

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Palhares 9.7
fighter Luiz Moura 8.0
Great submissions by Palhares
Round 1 Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
Round 1 Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Round 2 Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Palhares 9.6
fighter Luiz Moura 8.2
Fast finishes by Palhares
31 seconds Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
404 seconds Mar 03, 2011 vs Branch
45 seconds Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
R2 SUBX
1,7711,658
1,7061,724
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Palhares
legend Luiz Moura
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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