UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Evangelista vs Masvidal

1,914

CageRank

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
77% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

2,125

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Much better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.2 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly longer reach 185 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.0 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 32 years vs 36 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Billy Evangelista
Heavier hands 7.8 vs 7.5 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Evangelista’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Evangelista
Significant Strikes83
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Evangelista's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Masvidal's good takedown offense may be a factor against Evangelista's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Evangelista on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Billy
Evangelista
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Evangelista Masvidal
Significant Strikes66
Evangelista's good striking offense may be a factor against Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Evangelista's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Evangelista is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Evangelista is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Evangelista has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Evangelista 8.6
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Evangelista 8.3
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Evangelista 7.8
Great knockouts by Evangelista
Round 3 Mar 29, 2008 vs Sims
Round 1 Feb 10, 2007 vs Hill
Round 2 Jan 13, 2006 vs Healy

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Evangelista 6.2
Great submissions by Masvidal
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Chiesa
Round 3 Jun 19, 2009 vs Reynolds

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Evangelista 7.1
Fast finishes by Masvidal
503 seconds Nov 07, 2009 vs Kitaoka
79 seconds Apr 03, 2009 vs Agallar
117 seconds Sep 28, 2008 vs Schultz
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
DECX
1,9931,943
1,9362,000
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Evangelista
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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