UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lawson vs Neal

1,590

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lawson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
74% chance Lawson
WILL WIN

1,410

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Eric Lawson
Much stronger jaw 8.5 vs 6.7 More than 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better submission offense 7.5 vs 6.4 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 7.0 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 7.6 vs 6.9 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Josh Neal
Significantly heavier 184 lbs vs 180 lbs Almost the same
Significantly better submission defense 8.1 vs 7.0 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Lawson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Neal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Eric
Lawson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lawson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Below average
Jaw
Submission
Lawson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Lawson is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Neal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lawson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Josh
Neal
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Neal is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Neal is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Neal is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lawson 6.8
fighter Neal 6.7
Great knockouts by Lawson
Round 1 Apr 11, 2009 vs Kennell
Round 1 Jul 27, 2007 vs Werner

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lawson 7.5
fighter Neal 6.4
Great submissions by Lawson
Round 1 Nov 21, 2008 vs Johnson
Round 1 Sep 20, 2008 vs Seegrist
Round 2 Nov 16, 2007 vs Neal

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lawson 7.6
fighter Neal 7.0
Fast finishes by Lawson
294 seconds Apr 11, 2009 vs Kennell
88 seconds Nov 21, 2008 vs Johnson
187 seconds Sep 20, 2008 vs Seegrist
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
R2 KOX
1,5851,546
1,6301,502
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lawson
legend Neal
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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