UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Wilcox vs Ishida

1,970

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Wilcox

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
69% chance Wilcox
WILL WIN

1,833

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Justin Wilcox
Significantly better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.7 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.7 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger jaw 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 155 lbs vs 142 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Mitsuhiro Ishida
Much stronger takedown offense 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 7.3 vs 7.1 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Slightly longer reach 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Wilcox on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Justin
Wilcox
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Wilcox Ishida
Significant Strikes46
Wilcox's average striking offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Wilcox's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Wilcox has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Wilcox is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Wilcox has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Ishida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Wilcox’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mitsuhiro
Ishida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Ishida Wilcox
Significant Strikes58
Ishida's average striking offense is matched by Wilcox's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Ishida's excellent takedown offense will dominate Wilcox's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ishida is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Ishida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ishida has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Wilcox 8.5
fighter Ishida 8.2
Great striking by Wilcox
21 strikes Apr 01, 2011 vs Damm

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Wilcox 8.3
fighter Ishida 9.5
Great takedowns by Ishida
5 takedowns Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
7 takedowns Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
4 takedowns Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Wilcox 7.0
fighter Ishida 6.7
Great knockouts by Wilcox
Round 1 Apr 01, 2011 vs Damm
Round 3 Aug 18, 2007 vs Murphey

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Wilcox 7.3
fighter Ishida 6.7
Great submissions by Wilcox
Round 2 Sep 13, 2013 vs Stepanyan
Round 3 Aug 15, 2009 vs Douglas
Round 2 Nov 23, 2005 vs Shawn

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Wilcox 7.1
fighter Ishida 7.3
Fast finishes by Ishida
81 seconds Sep 20, 2008 vs Wilcox
149 seconds Apr 02, 2006 vs Rodriguez
691 seconds Aug 20, 2005 vs Nakakura
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XDEC
1,7661,946
1,7401,972
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Wilcox
legend Ishida
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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