UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Morecraft vs Mitrione

1,693

CageRank

WINNER
Mitrione

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
70% chance Mitrione
WILL WIN

1,836

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Matt Mitrione
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.3 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 8.6 vs 7.4 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Longer reach 208 cm vs 206 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Christian Morecraft
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 7.3 Around 25% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.8 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 198 cm vs 191 cm Around 5% taller
Younger 31 years vs 40 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 261 lbs vs 255 lbs Almost the same
Mitrione on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Morecraft’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Mitrione
In 8:23, how much damage will he do? Mitrione Morecraft
Significant Strikes43
Mitrione's good striking offense may be a factor against Morecraft's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 76 Significant Strikes in 8:23
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Mitrione's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Morecraft's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:23
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mitrione has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Mitrione is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Mitrione is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Morecraft on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mitrione’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Christian
Morecraft
In 8:23, how much damage will he do? Morecraft Mitrione
Significant Strikes29
Morecraft's average striking offense is matched by Mitrione's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 76 Significant Strikes in 8:23
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Morecraft's good takedown offense may be a factor against Mitrione's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:23
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Morecraft is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Morecraft has a chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Morecraft is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mitrione 8.7
fighter Morecraft 8.3
Great striking by Mitrione
7 strikes Apr 06, 2013 vs De Fries
16 strikes Jan 22, 2011 vs Hague
76 strikes Sep 25, 2010 vs Beltran

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mitrione 7.3
fighter Morecraft 9.1
Great takedowns by Morecraft
1 takedown Mar 26, 2011 vs McCorkle

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mitrione 8.8
fighter Morecraft 7.3
Great knockouts by Mitrione
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs De Fries
Round 2 Jun 26, 2011 vs Morecraft
Round 1 Jan 22, 2011 vs Hague

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mitrione 6.8
fighter Morecraft 7.7
Great submissions by Morecraft
Round 2 Mar 26, 2011 vs McCorkle
Round 1 May 28, 2010 vs Beane
Round 1 Nov 14, 2009 vs Diekmann

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mitrione 8.3
fighter Morecraft 8.0
Fast finishes by Mitrione
19 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs De Fries
568 seconds Jun 26, 2011 vs Morecraft
179 seconds Jan 22, 2011 vs Hague
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
R2 SUBX
1,8001,780
1,7471,833
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mitrione
legend Morecraft
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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