UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Starks vs Herman

1,762

CageRank

WINNER
Herman

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
79% chance Herman
WILL WIN

1,990

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ed Herman
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.5 Around 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.2 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.9 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 188 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Slightly heavier hands 7.3 vs 7.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Clifford Starks
Longer reach 198 cm vs 191 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Herman on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Starks’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ed
Herman
In 9:32, how much damage will he do? Herman Starks
Significant Strikes49
Herman's average striking offense is matched by Starks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:32
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Herman's average takedown offense is matched by Starks's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:32
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Herman is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Herman has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Herman is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Starks on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Herman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Clifford
Starks
In 9:32, how much damage will he do? Starks Herman
Significant Strikes41
Starks's average striking offense is matched by Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 86 Significant Strikes in 9:32
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Starks's average takedown offense is matched by Herman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:32
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Starks is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Starks is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Starks has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Herman 8.5
fighter Starks 8.3
Great striking by Herman
2 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
71 strikes Apr 18, 2009 vs Loiseau
43 strikes Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Herman 8.5
fighter Starks 8.2
Great takedowns by Herman
1 takedown Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
5 takedowns Apr 18, 2009 vs Loiseau
2 takedowns Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Herman 7.3
fighter Starks 7.2
Great knockouts by Herman
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Credeur
Round 3 Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen
Round 1 Jul 23, 2005 vs Menne

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Herman 8.1
fighter Starks 6.5
Great submissions by Herman
Round 2 Feb 04, 2012 vs Starks
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
Round 2 Aug 28, 2004 vs Ebersole

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Herman 8.1
fighter Starks 7.2
Fast finishes by Herman
255 seconds Aug 14, 2011 vs Noke
48 seconds Jun 04, 2011 vs Credeur
639 seconds Nov 17, 2007 vs Doerksen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 4, 2012UFC 143
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,8281,942
1,7941,977
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Herman
legend Starks
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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