UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lashley vs Lesnar

1,829

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Lashley

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
51% chance Lashley
WILL WIN

1,820

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Bobby Lashley
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission offense 8.3 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Brock Lesnar
Significantly heavier 264 lbs vs 241 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 7.7 vs 6.9 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 206 cm vs 198 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger takedown offense 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Lashley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lesnar’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bobby
Lashley
In 9:47, how much damage will he do? Lashley Lesnar
Significant Strikes37
Lashley's average striking offense won't be a factor against Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:47
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Lashley's good takedown offense is matched by Lesnar's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:47
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lashley is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Lashley has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Lashley has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lesnar on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lashley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Brock
Lesnar
In 9:47, how much damage will he do? Lesnar Lashley
Significant Strikes49
Lesnar's good striking offense may be a factor against Lashley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 88 Significant Strikes in 9:47
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Lesnar's excellent takedown offense will dominate Lashley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:47
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lesnar is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lesnar has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Lesnar has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lashley 8.5
fighter Lesnar 8.9
Great striking by Lesnar
8 strikes Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
47 strikes Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
31 strikes Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lashley 9.0
fighter Lesnar 9.3
Great takedowns by Lesnar
1 takedown Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
1 takedown Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
2 takedowns Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lashley 6.9
fighter Lesnar 7.7
Great knockouts by Lesnar
Round 2 Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
Round 2 Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lashley 8.3
fighter Lesnar 7.8
Great submissions by Lashley
Round 2 Jun 07, 2013 vs Asplund
Round 1 Nov 11, 2011 vs Knothe
Round 1 Jun 27, 2009 vs Sapp

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lashley 8.1
fighter Lesnar 8.2
Fast finishes by Lesnar
439 seconds Jul 03, 2010 vs Carwin
408 seconds Jul 11, 2009 vs Mir
487 seconds Nov 15, 2008 vs Couture
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lashley
legend Lesnar
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Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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