UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Marshall vs Berry

1,929

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Marshall

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
85% chance Marshall
WILL WIN

1,634

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Doug Marshall
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.2 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Keith Berry
A lot taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly younger 30 years vs 40 years 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 187 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Marshall on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Berry’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Doug
Marshall
In 8:18, how much damage will he do? Marshall Berry
Significant Strikes46
Marshall's average striking offense may be a factor against Berry's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 75 Significant Strikes in 8:18
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Marshall's average takedown offense is matched by Berry's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:18
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Marshall has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Marshall is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Marshall is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Berry on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Marshall’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Keith
Berry
In 8:18, how much damage will he do? Berry Marshall
Significant Strikes36
Berry's average striking offense is matched by Marshall's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 75 Significant Strikes in 8:18
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Berry's average takedown offense is matched by Marshall's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:18
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Berry is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Berry is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Berry is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Marshall 8.6
fighter Berry 8.1
Great striking by Marshall
26 strikes May 12, 2007 vs McElfresh

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Marshall 8.8
fighter Berry 7.2
Great knockouts by Marshall
Round 1 Apr 04, 2013 vs Cooper
Round 1 Feb 14, 2013 vs Spang
Round 2 Aug 17, 2006 vs Sincaid

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Marshall 6.6
fighter Berry 6.5
Great submissions by Marshall
Round 3 Mar 05, 2010 vs Lacy
Round 1 Dec 12, 2007 vs Gandulla
Round 1 May 21, 2004 vs Arria

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Marshall 8.6
fighter Berry 7.7
Fast finishes by Marshall
219 seconds Apr 04, 2013 vs Cooper
183 seconds Feb 14, 2013 vs Spang
55 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Gandulla
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 17, 2009PureCombat 10 - Fearless
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 KOX
1,8471,613
1,8681,593
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Marshall
legend Berry
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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