UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Modafferi vs Kaufman

1,600

CageRank

WINNER
Kaufman

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
89% chance Kaufman
WILL WIN

1,955

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Sarah Kaufman
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.3 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Younger 32 years vs 35 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Slightly heavier 134 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Roxanne Modafferi
Much better submission offense 7.0 vs 6.1 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.4 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Slightly taller 168 cm vs 165 cm Almost the same
Slightly harder to hit 8.2 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Kaufman on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Modafferi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sarah
Kaufman
In 15:00, how much damage will she do? Kaufman Modafferi
Significant Strikes91
Kaufman's good striking offense may be a factor against Modafferi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Kaufman's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Modafferi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kaufman is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kaufman is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kaufman has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Below average
Scoring ability
Modafferi on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Kaufman’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Roxanne
Modafferi
In 15:00, how much damage will she do? Modafferi Kaufman
Significant Strikes81
Modafferi's average striking offense may be a factor against Kaufman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Modafferi's average takedown offense is matched by Kaufman's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Modafferi is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Modafferi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Modafferi is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Kaufman 8.8
fighter Modafferi 8.4
Great striking by Kaufman
135 strikes Mar 03, 2012 vs Davis
80 strikes Jul 23, 2010 vs Modafferi
164 strikes Feb 26, 2010 vs Hashi

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Kaufman 7.9
fighter Modafferi 6.3
Great knockouts by Kaufman
Round 3 Jul 23, 2010 vs Modafferi
Round 2 Apr 23, 2009 vs Schneider
Round 2 Oct 19, 2007 vs Marquez

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Kaufman 6.1
fighter Modafferi 7.0
Great submissions by Modafferi
Round 2 Jan 30, 2010 vs Helsel
Round 3 Mar 05, 2005 vs Howe
Round 1 Nov 10, 2003 vs Shinohara

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Kaufman 7.3
fighter Modafferi 7.2
Fast finishes by Kaufman
885 seconds Jul 23, 2010 vs Modafferi
403 seconds Apr 23, 2009 vs Schneider
502 seconds Oct 19, 2007 vs Marquez
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
XDEC
1,8991,923
1,8521,969
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Kaufman
legend Modafferi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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