UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Otsuka vs Silva

1,517

CageRank

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
99% chance Silva
WILL WIN

2,250

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Anderson Silva
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 6.5 More than 45% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 9.4 vs 7.0 More than 35% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.0 vs 7.8 More than 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.3 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.0 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much better takedown defense 9.1 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better submission offense 7.4 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 42 years vs 45 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Alexander Otsuka
Much stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.1 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 203 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Otsuka’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anderson
Silva
In 3:59, how much damage will he do? Silva Otsuka
Significant Strikes21
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Otsuka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 36 Significant Strikes in 3:59
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Otsuka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:59
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Otsuka on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Alexander
Otsuka
In 3:59, how much damage will he do? Otsuka Silva
Significant Strikes8
Otsuka's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 36 Significant Strikes in 3:59
Below average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Otsuka's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 3:59
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Otsuka is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Otsuka is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Otsuka is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Otsuka 7.8
Great striking by Silva
15 strikes Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
43 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
31 strikes Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.1
fighter Otsuka 8.0
Great takedowns by Otsuka
4 takedowns Mar 16, 2003 vs Yamamoto
1 takedown Oct 11, 1998 vs Ruas

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 9.5
fighter Otsuka 6.5
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 2 Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
Round 2 Oct 20, 2007 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 7.4
fighter Otsuka 7.2
Great submissions by Silva
Round 5 Aug 07, 2010 vs Sonnen
Round 2 Mar 01, 2008 vs Henderson
Round 2 Feb 03, 2007 vs Lutter

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 9.4
fighter Otsuka 7.0
Fast finishes by Silva
415 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Sonnen
424 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Okami
179 seconds Oct 14, 2006 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 29, 2002Pride 22
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR1 KO
1,4601,875
1,4521,883
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Otsuka
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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