UFC fight predictions and analysis
Upcoming:
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Smith vs Denes

1,573

CageRank

WINNER
Denes

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
72% chance Denes
WILL WIN

1,740

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Dustin Denes
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better submission defense 8.9 vs 7.6 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.4 vs 7.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 6.3 vs 6.0 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 184 lbs vs 164 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Darrell Smith
Significantly stronger jaw 8.1 vs 7.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Denes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Smith’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dustin
Denes
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Denes is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Denes has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Denes is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Smith on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Denes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Darrell
Smith
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Smith is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Smith is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Smith is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Denes 8.4
fighter Smith 7.3
Great submissions by Denes
Round 2 Jun 24, 2006 vs Carney
Round 1 Dec 06, 2003 vs Serrano
Round 1 Dec 13, 2002 vs Henze

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Denes 7.9
fighter Smith 7.6
Fast finishes by Denes
428 seconds Jun 24, 2006 vs Carney
140 seconds Dec 06, 2003 vs Serrano
225 seconds Dec 13, 2002 vs Henze
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 30, 2005AFC 13
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,6401,821
1,6141,848
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Denes
legend Smith
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus