UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Cavalcante vs Silva

1,897

CageRank

WINNER
Silva

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
68% chance Silva
WILL WIN

2,031

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Thiago Silva
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.7 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 35 years vs 38 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Rafael Cavalcante
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 7.9 vs 7.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier hands 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cavalcante’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thiago
Silva
In 10:05, how much damage will he do? Silva Cavalcante
Significant Strikes65
Silva's excellent striking offense will dominate Cavalcante's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:05
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Cavalcante's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:05
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Cavalcante on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rafael
Cavalcante
In 10:05, how much damage will he do? Cavalcante Silva
Significant Strikes53
Cavalcante's excellent striking offense will dominate Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:05
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Cavalcante's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:05
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cavalcante has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cavalcante is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cavalcante is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Silva 9.0
fighter Cavalcante 9.0
Great striking by Silva
96 strikes Oct 09, 2013 vs Hamill
37 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Cavalcante
48 strikes Sep 08, 2007 vs Drwal

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Silva 7.3
fighter Cavalcante 7.9
Great takedowns by Cavalcante
1 takedown Nov 20, 2009 vs Rosa
1 takedown Jul 26, 2008 vs Galbraith
1 takedown Jun 14, 2008 vs Cole

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Silva 8.9
fighter Cavalcante 9.2
Great knockouts by Cavalcante
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Pokrajac
Round 3 Aug 21, 2010 vs Lawal
Round 1 May 15, 2010 vs Britt

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Silva 6.9
fighter Cavalcante 6.7
Great submissions by Silva
Round 1 May 24, 2008 vs Mendes
Round 1 Sep 27, 2006 vs Dalgliesh

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Silva 8.9
fighter Cavalcante 8.7
Fast finishes by Silva
269 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Cavalcante
95 seconds Aug 29, 2009 vs Jardine
144 seconds May 24, 2008 vs Mendes
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 8, 2013UFC on Fuel TV 10
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
R1 KOX
1,9371,935
1,8871,986
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Silva
legend Cavalcante
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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