UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Hawkins vs Faber

1,460

CageRank

WINNER
Faber

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
98% chance Faber
WILL WIN

2,161

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Urijah Faber
Much better submission offense 9.5 vs 6.9 More than 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 6.9 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier 134 lbs vs 130 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Much better submission defense 9.8 vs 7.8 More than 25% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 7.6 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 8.8 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better striker 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Advantages for Del Hawkins
From what we can tell, Urijah Faber dominates Del Hawkins in every way.
Faber on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Hawkins’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Urijah
Faber
In 5:21, how much damage will he do? Faber Hawkins
Significant Strikes26
Faber's average striking offense is matched by Hawkins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 48 Significant Strikes in 5:21
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Faber's average takedown offense is matched by Hawkins's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:21
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Faber is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Faber has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Faber is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Hawkins on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Faber’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Del
Hawkins
In 5:21, how much damage will he do? Hawkins Faber
Significant Strikes14
Hawkins's average striking offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 48 Significant Strikes in 5:21
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Hawkins's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Faber's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:21
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Hawkins is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Hawkins is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Hawkins is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Faber 8.6
fighter Hawkins 8.2
Great striking by Faber
29 strikes Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
54 strikes Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
36 strikes Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Faber 8.4
fighter Hawkins 8.3
Great takedowns by Faber
1 takedown Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
4 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Alcantara
2 takedowns Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Faber 6.8
fighter Hawkins 6.7
Great knockouts by Faber
Round 2 Sep 09, 2006 vs Wilson
Round 2 Mar 17, 2006 vs Escovedo
Round 1 Aug 19, 2004 vs Hawkins

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Faber 9.5
fighter Hawkins 6.9
Great submissions by Faber
Round 2 Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
Round 3 Jan 10, 2010 vs Assuncao
Round 2 Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Faber 8.7
fighter Hawkins 6.9
Fast finishes by Faber
502 seconds Dec 14, 2013 vs McDonald
387 seconds Nov 19, 2011 vs Bowles
574 seconds Dec 12, 2007 vs Curran
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
R2 SUBX
1,7581,625
1,6901,693
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Faber
legend Hawkins
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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