UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Bueno vs Vovchanchyn

1,646

CageRank

WINNER
Vovchanchyn

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
75% chance Vovchanchyn
WILL WIN

1,838

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Igor Vovchanchyn
Much harder to hit 9.6 vs 8.6 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 7.9 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.0 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.6 vs 8.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Francisco Bueno
Significantly better submission offense 7.9 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 185 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.7 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 222 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker 8.3 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Vovchanchyn on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bueno’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Igor
Vovchanchyn
In 9:15, how much damage will he do? Vovchanchyn Bueno
Significant Strikes35
Vovchanchyn's average striking offense is matched by Bueno's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 83 Significant Strikes in 9:15
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Vovchanchyn's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Bueno's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:15
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Vovchanchyn has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Vovchanchyn is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Vovchanchyn is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Bueno on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Vovchanchyn’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Francisco
Bueno
In 9:15, how much damage will he do? Bueno Vovchanchyn
Significant Strikes18
Bueno's average striking offense won't be a factor against Vovchanchyn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 83 Significant Strikes in 9:15
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Bueno's average takedown offense is matched by Vovchanchyn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:15
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bueno is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bueno is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bueno is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Vovchanchyn 8.2
fighter Bueno 8.3
Great striking by Bueno
17 strikes Apr 29, 1999 vs Honma

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Vovchanchyn 7.9
fighter Bueno 7.0
Great knockouts by Vovchanchyn
Round 1 Feb 20, 2005 vs Takahashi
Round 1 May 01, 2000 vs Sakuraba
Round 1 Feb 03, 1998 vs Nutter

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Vovchanchyn 7.5
fighter Bueno 8.0
Great submissions by Bueno
Round 1 May 15, 2002 vs Travelier
Round 1 Jun 09, 2001 vs Mendoza
Round 1 Jan 20, 1999 vs Godsey

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Vovchanchyn 7.9
fighter Bueno 7.9
Fast finishes by Vovchanchyn
70 seconds Feb 20, 2005 vs Takahashi
112 seconds May 27, 2001 vs Yvel
900 seconds May 01, 2000 vs Sakuraba
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 21, 1999Pride 8
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR2 KO
1,6032,063
1,5962,069
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Vovchanchyn
legend Bueno
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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