UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Bueno vs Honma

1,646

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Bueno

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
75% chance Bueno
WILL WIN

1,452

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Francisco Bueno
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 6.6 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 7.9 vs 6.7 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.5 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 45 years vs 50 years 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 222 lbs vs 203 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Slightly taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Satoshi Honma
Puts up a fight 8.0 vs 7.8 Almost the same
Bueno on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Honma’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Francisco
Bueno
In 10:05, how much damage will he do? Bueno Honma
Significant Strikes44
Bueno's average striking offense is matched by Honma's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:05
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Bueno's average takedown offense is matched by Honma's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:05
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bueno has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Bueno has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Bueno is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Honma on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bueno’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Satoshi
Honma
In 10:05, how much damage will he do? Honma Bueno
Significant Strikes36
Honma's average striking offense is matched by Bueno's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:05
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Honma's average takedown offense is matched by Bueno's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:05
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Honma is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Honma is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Honma is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Bueno 8.3
fighter Honma 8.1
Great striking by Bueno
17 strikes Apr 29, 1999 vs Honma

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Bueno 7.0
fighter Honma 6.6
Great knockouts by Bueno
Round 1 Apr 29, 1999 vs Honma

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Bueno 8.0
fighter Honma 6.7
Great submissions by Bueno
Round 1 May 15, 2002 vs Travelier
Round 1 Jun 09, 2001 vs Mendoza
Round 1 Jan 20, 1999 vs Godsey

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Bueno 7.9
fighter Honma 6.6
Fast finishes by Bueno
148 seconds Jun 09, 2001 vs Mendoza
299 seconds Apr 29, 1999 vs Honma
99 seconds Jan 20, 1999 vs Godsey
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 29, 1999Pride 5
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 SUBX
1,5581,523
1,6031,478
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Bueno
legend Honma
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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