UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Alvarez vs Waterson

1,654

CageRank

WINNER
Waterson

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
70% chance Waterson
WILL WIN

1,800

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Michelle Waterson
Puts up a fight 8.3 vs 7.5 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 8.3 vs 7.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.1 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Slightly taller 160 cm vs 157 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Lynn Alvarez
From what we can tell, Michelle Waterson dominates Lynn Alvarez in every way.
Waterson on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Alvarez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michelle
Waterson
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Waterson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Waterson has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Waterson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Alvarez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Waterson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lynn
Alvarez
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alvarez is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Alvarez has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Alvarez is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Waterson 6.8
fighter Alvarez 6.8
Great knockouts by Alvarez
Round 1 Aug 23, 2008 vs Bobo

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Waterson 8.2
fighter Alvarez 8.2
Great submissions by Waterson
Round 4 Apr 05, 2013 vs Penne
Round 1 Jan 21, 2012 vs Rael
Round 1 Sep 15, 2007 vs Cook

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Waterson 8.1
fighter Alvarez 8.0
Fast finishes by Waterson
1051 seconds Apr 05, 2013 vs Penne
132 seconds Jan 21, 2012 vs Rael
93 seconds Sep 15, 2007 vs Cook
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 1, 2007ROF 31
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR2 SUB
1,5001,547
1,5571,490
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Waterson
legend Alvarez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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