UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Esparza vs Moroz

1,821

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Esparza

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
82% chance Esparza
WILL WIN

1,553

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Carla Esparza
Much better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.2 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.3 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 8.2 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Maryna Moroz
A lot taller 170 cm vs 155 cm Around 10% taller
Significantly better submission offense 7.7 vs 7.2 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 25 years vs 29 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Esparza on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Moroz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carla
Esparza
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Esparza has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Esparza has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Esparza has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Moroz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Esparza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Maryna
Moroz
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Moroz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Moroz is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Moroz is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Esparza 7.6
fighter Moroz 7.3
Great knockouts by Esparza
Round 1 Oct 06, 2012 vs Alvarez
Round 2 Jul 28, 2012 vs Schneider
Round 1 Feb 19, 2010 vs Trost

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Esparza 7.2
fighter Moroz 7.7
Great submissions by Moroz
Round 1 Nov 01, 2014 vs Silva
Round 1 Jun 01, 2014 vs Huang
Round 2 Nov 23, 2013 vs Kuzioma

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Esparza 7.7
fighter Moroz 7.6
Fast finishes by Esparza
173 seconds Oct 06, 2012 vs Alvarez
568 seconds Jul 28, 2012 vs Schneider
457 seconds Jul 16, 2010 vs Schuckman
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Esparza
legend Moroz
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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