UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Esparza vs Suarez

1,821

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Esparza

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
78% chance Esparza
WILL WIN

1,604

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Carla Esparza
Significantly better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.4 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 8.2 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.2 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.2 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 7.2 vs 7.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Tatiana Suarez
Taller 165 cm vs 155 cm More than 5% taller
Younger 27 years vs 31 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Esparza on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Suarez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carla
Esparza
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Esparza has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Esparza has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Esparza has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Suarez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Esparza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tatiana
Suarez
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Suarez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Suarez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Suarez has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Esparza 7.6
fighter Suarez 7.2
Great knockouts by Esparza
Round 1 Oct 06, 2012 vs Alvarez
Round 2 Jul 28, 2012 vs Schneider
Round 1 Feb 19, 2010 vs Trost

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Esparza 7.2
fighter Suarez 7.1
Great submissions by Esparza
Round 1 Apr 15, 2011 vs Anzaldua
Round 2 Jul 16, 2010 vs Schuckman
Round 2 Apr 18, 2010 vs Hallinan

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Esparza 7.7
fighter Suarez 7.2
Fast finishes by Esparza
173 seconds Oct 06, 2012 vs Alvarez
568 seconds Jul 28, 2012 vs Schneider
457 seconds Jul 16, 2010 vs Schuckman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 8, 2018UFC 228
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Esparza
legend Suarez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 1 comment.
The Suarez vs Esparza match breakdown. Suarez has 4" height and 4" reach advantage. Suarez has been very successful at handling good strikers because of the threat of her take downs and her aggression. The height and reach advantage will be difficult for Esparza to get through and strike. Esparza will have go to her wrestling but the problem there is Esparza was a 4 year all american in college but Suarez was a 3 time Senior Open National Champion and defeating 2016 Olympic Champion Helen Maroulis in 2010. Suarez and Maroulis were the top wrestlers in the nation at that time. At the World Championships, Suarez won a bronze medial (3rd place) in 2008 (at 17 years old) and 2010 (at 19 years old). Suarez wrestling is far above Ezparza. Suraez is much more physically dominant. Both have purple belt bjj and world champions. This should be a dominant win for Suraez by decision. It is possible that Suraez could defeat Esparza with GnP in late round, just from wearing Carla down.
comments powered by Disqus