UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Esparza vs Rousey

1,821

CageRank

WINNER
Rousey

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
81% chance Rousey
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronda Rousey
Fast finishes 9.9 vs 7.7 Around 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 9.3 vs 7.2 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 168 cm vs 155 cm Around 10% taller
Stronger jaw 8.6 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 134 lbs vs 114 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Carla Esparza
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.4 Almost the same
Rousey on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Esparza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronda
Rousey
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rousey is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Rousey has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rousey is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Esparza on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Rousey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carla
Esparza
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Esparza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Esparza is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Esparza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rousey 7.4
fighter Esparza 7.6
Great knockouts by Esparza
Round 1 Oct 06, 2012 vs Alvarez
Round 2 Jul 28, 2012 vs Schneider
Round 1 Feb 19, 2010 vs Trost

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.3
fighter Esparza 7.2
Great submissions by Rousey
Round 3 Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
Round 1 Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
Round 1 Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rousey 9.9
fighter Esparza 7.7
Fast finishes by Rousey
658 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
54 seconds Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
267 seconds Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rousey
legend Esparza
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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