UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Esparza vs Alvarez

1,821

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Esparza

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
72% chance Esparza
WILL WIN

1,654

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Carla Esparza
Much heavier hands 7.6 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Slightly younger 31 years vs 33 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Lynn Alvarez
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.2 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.7 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Slightly taller 157 cm vs 155 cm Almost the same
Esparza on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Alvarez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carla
Esparza
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Esparza has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Esparza has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Esparza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Alvarez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Esparza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lynn
Alvarez
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Alvarez is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Alvarez has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Alvarez is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Esparza 7.6
fighter Alvarez 6.8
Great knockouts by Esparza
Round 1 Oct 06, 2012 vs Alvarez
Round 2 Jul 28, 2012 vs Schneider
Round 1 Feb 19, 2010 vs Trost

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Esparza 7.2
fighter Alvarez 8.2
Great submissions by Alvarez
Round 1 Jan 11, 2014 vs Stautzenberger
Round 1 Oct 24, 2008 vs Colarelli
Round 1 Dec 01, 2007 vs Waterson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Esparza 7.7
fighter Alvarez 8.0
Fast finishes by Alvarez
45 seconds Jan 11, 2014 vs Stautzenberger
116 seconds Oct 24, 2008 vs Colarelli
79 seconds Dec 01, 2007 vs Waterson
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 SUBX
1,7611,616
1,7921,586
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Esparza
legend Alvarez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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