UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Esparza vs Waterson

1,821

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Esparza

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
53% chance Esparza
WILL WIN

1,800

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Carla Esparza
Much heavier hands 7.6 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Michelle Waterson
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 7.2 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.1 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 160 cm vs 155 cm Around 5% taller
Esparza on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Waterson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carla
Esparza
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Esparza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Esparza is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Esparza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Waterson on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Esparza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michelle
Waterson
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Waterson is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Waterson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Waterson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Esparza 7.6
fighter Waterson 6.8
Great knockouts by Esparza
Round 1 Oct 06, 2012 vs Alvarez
Round 2 Jul 28, 2012 vs Schneider
Round 1 Feb 19, 2010 vs Trost

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Esparza 7.2
fighter Waterson 8.2
Great submissions by Waterson
Round 4 Apr 05, 2013 vs Penne
Round 1 Jan 21, 2012 vs Rael
Round 1 Sep 15, 2007 vs Cook

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Esparza 7.7
fighter Waterson 8.1
Fast finishes by Waterson
1051 seconds Apr 05, 2013 vs Penne
132 seconds Jan 21, 2012 vs Rael
93 seconds Sep 15, 2007 vs Cook
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Esparza
legend Waterson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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