UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Esparza vs Trost

1,821

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Esparza

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
92% chance Esparza
WILL WIN

1,400

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Carla Esparza
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 6.7 More than 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 8.2 vs 6.6 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly fast finishes 7.7 vs 7.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.4 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.1 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 7.2 vs 7.0 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Cassie Trost
From what we can tell, Carla Esparza dominates Cassie Trost in every way.
Esparza on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Trost’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Carla
Esparza
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Esparza has a chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Below average
Jaw
Submission
Esparza has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Esparza has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Trost on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Esparza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cassie
Trost
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Trost is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Trost is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Trost is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Esparza 7.6
fighter Trost 7.1
Great knockouts by Esparza
Round 1 Oct 06, 2012 vs Alvarez
Round 2 Jul 28, 2012 vs Schneider
Round 1 Feb 19, 2010 vs Trost

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Esparza 7.2
fighter Trost 7.0
Great submissions by Esparza
Round 1 Apr 15, 2011 vs Anzaldua
Round 2 Jul 16, 2010 vs Schuckman
Round 2 Apr 18, 2010 vs Hallinan

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Esparza 7.7
fighter Trost 7.1
Fast finishes by Esparza
173 seconds Oct 06, 2012 vs Alvarez
568 seconds Jul 28, 2012 vs Schneider
457 seconds Jul 16, 2010 vs Schuckman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 19, 2010RITC 3
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 KO
1,5001,500
1,5501,450
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Esparza
legend Trost
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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