UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Magalhaes vs Means

1,750

CageRank

WINNER
Means

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
76% chance Means
WILL WIN

1,953

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tim Means
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 6.8 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.1 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly longer reach 191 cm vs 173 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
A lot taller 188 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 34 years vs 37 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly harder to hit 8.6 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Advantages for Bernardo Magalhaes
Better submission offense 6.8 vs 6.4 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.9 Almost the same
Means on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Magalhaes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tim
Means
In 10:07, how much damage will he do? Means Magalhaes
Significant Strikes54
Means's good striking offense may be a factor against Magalhaes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:07
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Means's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Magalhaes's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:07
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Means has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Means is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Means has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Magalhaes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Means’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Bernardo
Magalhaes
In 10:07, how much damage will he do? Magalhaes Means
Significant Strikes38
Magalhaes's average striking offense is matched by Means's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:07
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Magalhaes's average takedown offense is matched by Means's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:07
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Magalhaes is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Magalhaes is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Magalhaes has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Means 8.8
fighter Magalhaes 8.2
Great striking by Means
26 strikes Jun 08, 2012 vs Salas
83 strikes Feb 15, 2012 vs Magalhaes

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Means 8.8
fighter Magalhaes 6.8
Great knockouts by Means
Round 1 Sep 13, 2013 vs Spratt
Round 1 Jun 08, 2012 vs Salas
Round 2 Oct 07, 2010 vs Green

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Means 6.4
fighter Magalhaes 6.8
Great submissions by Magalhaes
Round 2 Jul 04, 2009 vs Kelly
Round 0 Nov 02, 2007 vs Yamamoto

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Means 8.6
fighter Magalhaes 7.1
Fast finishes by Means
144 seconds Sep 13, 2013 vs Spratt
66 seconds Jun 08, 2012 vs Salas
600 seconds Oct 07, 2010 vs Green
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 15, 2012UFC on Fuel TV 1
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR2 KO
1,8811,937
1,8391,979
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Means
legend Magalhaes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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