UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Kuivanen vs Chiesa

1,865

CageRank

WINNER
Chiesa

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
63% chance Chiesa
WILL WIN

1,954

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Michael Chiesa
Much better submission offense 8.8 vs 7.2 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much taller 185 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly better takedown defense 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly longer reach 192 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly stronger jaw 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 29 years vs 33 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Anton Kuivanen
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.2 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.0 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.3 vs 8.1 Almost the same
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Chiesa on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kuivanen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Chiesa
In 10:09, how much damage will he do? Chiesa Kuivanen
Significant Strikes31
Chiesa's average striking offense won't be a factor against Kuivanen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:09
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Chiesa's good takedown offense may be a factor against Kuivanen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:09
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Chiesa is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Chiesa has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Chiesa is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Kuivanen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Chiesa’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Anton
Kuivanen
In 10:09, how much damage will he do? Kuivanen Chiesa
Significant Strikes37
Kuivanen's average striking offense is matched by Chiesa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 91 Significant Strikes in 10:09
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Kuivanen's average takedown offense is matched by Chiesa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:09
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kuivanen is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kuivanen is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Kuivanen is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Chiesa 8.1
fighter Kuivanen 8.3
Great striking by Kuivanen
29 strikes Jul 21, 2012 vs Clarke

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Chiesa 8.9
fighter Kuivanen 8.2
Great takedowns by Chiesa
1 takedown Nov 06, 2013 vs Smith
1 takedown Feb 23, 2013 vs Kuivanen
1 takedown Jun 01, 2012 vs Iaquinta

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Chiesa 6.2
fighter Kuivanen 7.9
Great knockouts by Kuivanen
Round 1 Dec 14, 2013 vs Gaset
Round 1 Nov 23, 2013 vs Gonzalez
Round 1 Nov 20, 2010 vs Radcliffe

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Chiesa 8.8
fighter Kuivanen 7.2
Great submissions by Chiesa
Round 2 Nov 06, 2013 vs Smith
Round 2 Feb 23, 2013 vs Kuivanen
Round 1 Jun 01, 2012 vs Iaquinta

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Chiesa 8.2
fighter Kuivanen 8.2
Fast finishes by Chiesa
449 seconds Feb 23, 2013 vs Kuivanen
167 seconds Jun 01, 2012 vs Iaquinta
133 seconds Jul 16, 2011 vs Coble
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 23, 2013UFC 157
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
R1 SUBX
1,9381,826
1,8721,891
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Chiesa
legend Kuivanen
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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