UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Darabedyan vs Ferguson

1,668

CageRank

WINNER
Ferguson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
86% chance Ferguson
WILL WIN

1,986

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Tony Ferguson
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.2 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.4 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much longer reach 193 cm vs 173 cm More than 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 7.8 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
A lot taller 183 cm vs 170 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.8 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 8.4 vs 7.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.6 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Karen Darabedyan
Much stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 31 years vs 34 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Ferguson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Darabedyan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tony
Ferguson
In 5:30, how much damage will he do? Ferguson Darabedyan
Significant Strikes27
Ferguson's good striking offense may be a factor against Darabedyan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 49 Significant Strikes in 5:30
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Ferguson's average takedown offense is matched by Darabedyan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:30
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ferguson has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Ferguson has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Ferguson is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Darabedyan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ferguson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Karen
Darabedyan
In 5:30, how much damage will he do? Darabedyan Ferguson
Significant Strikes24
Darabedyan's average striking offense is matched by Ferguson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 49 Significant Strikes in 5:30
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Darabedyan's good takedown offense is matched by Ferguson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:30
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Darabedyan is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Darabedyan is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Darabedyan is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Ferguson 8.6
fighter Darabedyan 8.4
Great striking by Ferguson
5 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Rio
61 strikes Dec 03, 2011 vs Edwards
31 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Ferguson 8.1
fighter Darabedyan 9.0
Great takedowns by Darabedyan
1 takedown Nov 18, 2009 vs McCullough

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Ferguson 8.8
fighter Darabedyan 7.2
Great knockouts by Ferguson
Round 1 Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley
Round 1 Jun 04, 2011 vs Nijem
Round 4 Sep 25, 2010 vs Jardine

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Ferguson 7.2
fighter Darabedyan 6.8
Great submissions by Ferguson
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Rio
Round 1 Jan 04, 2009 vs Park
Round 2 Sep 13, 2008 vs Schilling

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Ferguson 8.8
fighter Darabedyan 7.4
Fast finishes by Ferguson
112 seconds Oct 19, 2013 vs Rio
300 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Riley
1055 seconds Sep 25, 2010 vs Jardine
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
DECX
1,7251,668
1,7661,626
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Ferguson
legend Darabedyan
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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