UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Krause vs Jordan

2,013

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Krause

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
73% chance Krause
WILL WIN

1,837

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for James Krause
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.0 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.5 More than 25% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 6.7 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much taller 188 cm vs 168 cm More than 10% taller
Significantly better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 32 years vs 40 years 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.2 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Joe Jordan
Much stronger jaw 9.7 vs 8.7 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 198 cm vs 191 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Krause on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jordan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
James
Krause
In 10:56, how much damage will he do? Krause Jordan
Significant Strikes56
Krause's average striking offense is matched by Jordan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:56
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Krause's average takedown offense is matched by Jordan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Krause has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Krause has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Krause is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Jordan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Krause’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joe
Jordan
In 10:56, how much damage will he do? Jordan Krause
Significant Strikes50
Jordan's average striking offense is matched by Krause's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 98 Significant Strikes in 10:56
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Jordan's average takedown offense is matched by Krause's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:56
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jordan is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jordan is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jordan is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Krause 8.5
fighter Jordan 8.3
Great striking by Krause
96 strikes Jun 15, 2013 vs Stout

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Krause 8.3
fighter Jordan 8.3
Great takedowns by Krause
1 takedown Jun 15, 2013 vs Stout

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Krause 8.2
fighter Jordan 6.7
Great knockouts by Krause
Round 1 Nov 02, 2012 vs Trindade
Round 1 Dec 16, 2011 vs Korzenowski
Round 1 Mar 25, 2011 vs Schut

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Krause 8.2
fighter Jordan 6.6
Great submissions by Krause
Round 3 Jun 15, 2013 vs Stout
Round 3 Nov 30, 2012 vs Jordan
Round 1 Sep 23, 2011 vs Wilson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Krause 8.7
fighter Jordan 7.0
Fast finishes by Krause
887 seconds Jun 15, 2013 vs Stout
619 seconds Nov 30, 2012 vs Jordan
41 seconds Mar 25, 2011 vs Schut
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 30, 2012RFA 5
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
R1 SUBX
1,9071,884
1,9541,837
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Krause
legend Jordan
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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