UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Krause vs Stout

2,013

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Krause

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
70% chance Krause
WILL WIN

1,869

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for James Krause
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.3 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.4 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much taller 188 cm vs 175 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly longer reach 191 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly harder to hit 8.4 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.4 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 32 years vs 34 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Sam Stout
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 9.0 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Krause on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Stout’s defensive skills
Predictions For
James
Krause
In 11:42, how much damage will he do? Krause Stout
Significant Strikes70
Krause's average striking offense may be a factor against Stout's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:42
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Krause's average takedown offense is matched by Stout's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:42
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Krause has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Krause has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Krause is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Stout on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Krause’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Stout
In 11:42, how much damage will he do? Stout Krause
Significant Strikes68
Stout's good striking offense may be a factor against Krause's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 105 Significant Strikes in 11:42
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Stout's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Krause's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:42
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Stout is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Stout is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Stout has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Krause 8.5
fighter Stout 8.9
Great striking by Stout
13 strikes Jun 11, 2011 vs Edwards
94 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Lauzon
62 strikes Mar 04, 2006 vs Fisher

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Krause 8.3
fighter Stout 7.5
Great takedowns by Krause
1 takedown Jun 15, 2013 vs Stout

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Krause 8.2
fighter Stout 7.4
Great knockouts by Krause
Round 1 Nov 02, 2012 vs Trindade
Round 1 Dec 16, 2011 vs Korzenowski
Round 1 Mar 25, 2011 vs Schut

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Krause 8.2
fighter Stout 6.3
Great submissions by Krause
Round 3 Jun 15, 2013 vs Stout
Round 3 Nov 30, 2012 vs Jordan
Round 1 Sep 23, 2011 vs Wilson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Krause 8.7
fighter Stout 7.4
Fast finishes by Krause
887 seconds Jun 15, 2013 vs Stout
619 seconds Nov 30, 2012 vs Jordan
41 seconds Mar 25, 2011 vs Schut
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 15, 2013UFC 161
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
DECX
1,9911,923
2,0311,883
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Krause
legend Stout
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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