UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Krause vs Masvidal

2,013

CageRank

WINNER
Masvidal

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
66% chance Masvidal
WILL WIN

2,125

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jorge Masvidal
Significantly stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.7 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.8 vs 9.0 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better striker 8.8 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for James Krause
Much better submission offense 8.2 vs 6.9 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.6 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 8.2 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Longer reach 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Slightly younger 31 years vs 33 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Masvidal on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Krause’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jorge
Masvidal
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Masvidal Krause
Significant Strikes83
Masvidal's good striking offense may be a factor against Krause's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Masvidal's good takedown offense may be a factor against Krause's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Masvidal is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Masvidal is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Masvidal has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Krause on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Masvidal’s defensive skills
Predictions For
James
Krause
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Krause Masvidal
Significant Strikes63
Krause's average striking offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Krause's average takedown offense is matched by Masvidal's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Krause has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Krause has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Krause is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Masvidal 8.8
fighter Krause 8.5
Great striking by Masvidal
50 strikes Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
82 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Wilcox
56 strikes Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Masvidal 8.7
fighter Krause 8.3
Great takedowns by Masvidal
6 takedowns Apr 20, 2013 vs Means
7 takedowns Jun 18, 2011 vs Noons
3 takedowns Mar 05, 2011 vs Evangelista

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Masvidal 7.5
fighter Krause 8.2
Great knockouts by Krause
Round 1 Nov 02, 2012 vs Trindade
Round 1 Dec 16, 2011 vs Korzenowski
Round 1 Mar 25, 2011 vs Schut

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Masvidal 6.9
fighter Krause 8.2
Great submissions by Krause
Round 3 Jun 15, 2013 vs Stout
Round 3 Nov 30, 2012 vs Jordan
Round 1 Sep 23, 2011 vs Wilson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Masvidal 7.6
fighter Krause 8.7
Fast finishes by Krause
887 seconds Jun 15, 2013 vs Stout
619 seconds Nov 30, 2012 vs Jordan
41 seconds Mar 25, 2011 vs Schut
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 27, 2014UFC 178
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Masvidal
legend Krause
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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