UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Justino vs Rousey

1,993

CageRank

WINNER
Rousey

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
62% chance Rousey
WILL WIN

2,076

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronda Rousey
Much better submission offense 9.3 vs 6.2 Around 50% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.9 vs 8.6 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.2 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Slightly younger 30 years vs 32 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Cristiane Justino
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 7.4 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Longer reach 175 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 173 cm vs 168 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Rousey on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Justino’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronda
Rousey
In 5:26, how much damage will she do? Rousey Justino
Significant Strikes20
Rousey's average striking offense won't be a factor against Justino's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 49 Significant Strikes in 5:26
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rousey's excellent takedown offense will dominate Justino's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:26
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rousey is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Rousey has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rousey is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Justino on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Rousey’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cristiane
Justino
In 5:26, how much damage will she do? Justino Rousey
Significant Strikes33
Justino's excellent striking offense will dominate Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 49 Significant Strikes in 5:26
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Justino's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rousey's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:26
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Justino has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Justino is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Justino is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rousey 8.5
fighter Justino 9.1
Great striking by Justino
52 strikes Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
40 strikes Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano
52 strikes Jul 26, 2008 vs Baszler

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.4
fighter Justino 8.2
Great takedowns by Rousey
6 takedowns Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
1 takedown Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
3 takedowns Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rousey 7.4
fighter Justino 9.7
Great knockouts by Justino
Round 4 Jul 13, 2013 vs Coenen
Round 3 Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rousey 9.3
fighter Justino 6.2
Great submissions by Rousey
Round 3 Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
Round 1 Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
Round 1 Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rousey 9.9
fighter Justino 8.6
Fast finishes by Rousey
658 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Tate
54 seconds Aug 18, 2012 vs Kaufman
267 seconds Mar 03, 2012 vs Tate
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rousey
legend Justino
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Rousey vs Lesnar
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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