UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Justino vs Benavidez

1,993

CageRank

WINNER
Benavidez

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
63% chance Benavidez
WILL WIN

2,082

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Joseph Benavidez
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.2 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Cristiane Justino
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 8.1 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly longer reach 175 cm vs 163 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.8 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Taller 173 cm vs 163 cm More than 5% taller
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 144 lbs vs 125 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Benavidez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Justino’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joseph
Benavidez
In 10:40, how much damage will he do? Benavidez Justino
Significant Strikes47
Benavidez's good striking offense is matched by Justino's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:40
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Benavidez's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Justino's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:40
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Benavidez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Benavidez has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Benavidez is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Justino on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Benavidez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cristiane
Justino
In 10:40, how much damage will she do? Justino Benavidez
Significant Strikes57
Justino's excellent striking offense will dominate Benavidez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 96 Significant Strikes in 10:40
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Justino's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Benavidez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:40
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Justino has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Justino is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Justino is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Benavidez 8.8
fighter Justino 9.1
Great striking by Justino
52 strikes Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
40 strikes Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano
52 strikes Jul 26, 2008 vs Baszler

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Benavidez 7.8
fighter Justino 8.2
Great takedowns by Justino
1 takedown Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
2 takedowns Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano
1 takedown Apr 11, 2009 vs Akano

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Benavidez 8.1
fighter Justino 9.7
Great knockouts by Justino
Round 4 Jul 13, 2013 vs Coenen
Round 3 Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Benavidez 8.1
fighter Justino 6.2
Great submissions by Benavidez
Round 2 Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
Round 2 Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres
Round 2 Jan 17, 2008 vs Georgianna

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Benavidez 8.6
fighter Justino 8.6
Fast finishes by Benavidez
465 seconds Nov 11, 2010 vs Fabiano
477 seconds Mar 06, 2010 vs Torres
95 seconds Dec 19, 2009 vs Yahya
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Benavidez
legend Justino
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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