UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Justino vs Yamanaka

1,993

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Justino

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
83% chance Justino
WILL WIN

1,718

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cristiane Justino
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 6.9 More than 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.4 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly younger 31 years vs 38 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Hiroko Yamanaka
A lot taller 180 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.2 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Longer reach 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 145 lbs vs 144 lbs Almost the same
Justino on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Yamanaka’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cristiane
Justino
In 10:31, how much damage will she do? Justino Yamanaka
Significant Strikes64
Justino's excellent striking offense will dominate Yamanaka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:31
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Justino's average takedown offense is matched by Yamanaka's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Justino has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Justino is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Justino is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Yamanaka on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Justino’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Hiroko
Yamanaka
In 10:31, how much damage will she do? Yamanaka Justino
Significant Strikes36
Yamanaka's average striking offense won't be a factor against Justino's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:31
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Yamanaka's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Justino's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Yamanaka is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Yamanaka is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Yamanaka is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Justino 9.1
fighter Yamanaka 8.4
Great striking by Justino
52 strikes Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
40 strikes Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano
52 strikes Jul 26, 2008 vs Baszler

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Justino 9.7
fighter Yamanaka 6.9
Great knockouts by Justino
Round 4 Jul 13, 2013 vs Coenen
Round 3 Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Justino 6.2
fighter Yamanaka 6.9
Great submissions by Yamanaka
Round 2 Jul 09, 2011 vs Erdenebileg
Round 1 Aug 29, 2010 vs Furner

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Justino 8.6
fighter Yamanaka 7.4
Fast finishes by Justino
1142 seconds Jul 13, 2013 vs Coenen
820 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
299 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Justino
legend Yamanaka
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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