UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Justino vs Evinger

1,993

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Justino

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
75% chance Justino
WILL WIN

1,801

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cristiane Justino
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 7.3 More than 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 32 years vs 36 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Slightly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Tonya Evinger
Much better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.2 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Justino on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Evinger’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cristiane
Justino
In 8:51, how much damage will she do? Justino Evinger
Significant Strikes47
Justino's excellent striking offense will dominate Evinger's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:51
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Justino's average takedown offense is matched by Evinger's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:51
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Justino has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Justino is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Justino is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Evinger on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Justino’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tonya
Evinger
In 8:51, how much damage will she do? Evinger Justino
Significant Strikes24
Evinger's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Justino's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 80 Significant Strikes in 8:51
Below average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Evinger's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Justino's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:51
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Evinger is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Evinger is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Evinger is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Justino 9.1
fighter Evinger 8.0
Great striking by Justino
52 strikes Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
40 strikes Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano
52 strikes Jul 26, 2008 vs Baszler

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Justino 9.7
fighter Evinger 7.3
Great knockouts by Justino
Round 4 Jul 13, 2013 vs Coenen
Round 3 Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Justino 6.2
fighter Evinger 7.2
Great submissions by Evinger
Round 1 Sep 23, 2011 vs Rodriguez
Round 1 Jan 25, 2008 vs Kedzie
Round 1 Oct 27, 2006 vs Reynolds

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Justino 8.6
fighter Evinger 7.8
Fast finishes by Justino
1142 seconds Jul 13, 2013 vs Coenen
820 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
299 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 29, 2017UFC 214
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Justino
legend Evinger
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus