UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Justino vs Baszler

1,993

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Justino

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
77% chance Justino
WILL WIN

1,779

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cristiane Justino
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 6.0 More than 60% better at knocking out good defenders
Much harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 31 years vs 36 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Shayna Baszler
Much better submission offense 8.8 vs 6.2 More than 40% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Justino on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Baszler’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cristiane
Justino
In 10:26, how much damage will she do? Justino Baszler
Significant Strikes69
Justino's excellent striking offense will dominate Baszler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:26
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Justino's average takedown offense is matched by Baszler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:26
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Justino has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Justino is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Justino is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Baszler on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Justino’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Shayna
Baszler
In 10:26, how much damage will she do? Baszler Justino
Significant Strikes36
Baszler's average striking offense won't be a factor against Justino's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:26
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Baszler's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Justino's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:26
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Baszler is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Baszler has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Baszler is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Justino 9.1
fighter Baszler 8.4
Great striking by Justino
52 strikes Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
40 strikes Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano
52 strikes Jul 26, 2008 vs Baszler

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Justino 8.2
fighter Baszler 8.0
Great takedowns by Justino
1 takedown Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
2 takedowns Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano
1 takedown Apr 11, 2009 vs Akano

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Justino 9.7
fighter Baszler 6.0
Great knockouts by Justino
Round 4 Jul 13, 2013 vs Coenen
Round 3 Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Justino 6.2
fighter Baszler 8.8
Great submissions by Baszler
Round 2 Oct 06, 2012 vs D'alelio
Round 1 Jun 12, 2010 vs Jenkins
Round 1 Oct 04, 2006 vs Modafferi

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Justino 8.6
fighter Baszler 8.3
Fast finishes by Justino
1142 seconds Jul 13, 2013 vs Coenen
820 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
299 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XR2 SUB
1,6441,770
1,7111,702
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Justino
legend Baszler
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus