UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Justino vs Finney

1,993

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Justino

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
92% chance Justino
WILL WIN

1,578

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cristiane Justino
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 7.1 More than 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 6.8 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much longer winning streak 7 fights vs 3 fights More than 2.2x longer winning streak; has momentum coming into a fight
Much stronger jaw 8.5 vs 7.5 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly longer reach 175 cm vs 163 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.1 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Younger 31 years vs 36 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly taller 173 cm vs 170 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Jan Finney
Stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 8.2 Almost the same
Justino on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Finney’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cristiane
Justino
In 7:47, how much damage will she do? Justino Finney
Significant Strikes53
Justino's excellent striking offense will dominate Finney's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 70 Significant Strikes in 7:47
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Justino's average takedown offense is matched by Finney's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:47
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Justino has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Justino is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Justino is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Finney on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Justino’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jan
Finney
In 7:47, how much damage will she do? Finney Justino
Significant Strikes27
Finney's average striking offense won't be a factor against Justino's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 70 Significant Strikes in 7:47
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Finney's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Justino's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:47
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Finney is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Finney is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Finney is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Justino 9.1
fighter Finney 8.4
Great striking by Justino
52 strikes Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
40 strikes Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano
52 strikes Jul 26, 2008 vs Baszler

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Justino 9.7
fighter Finney 7.1
Great knockouts by Justino
Round 4 Jul 13, 2013 vs Coenen
Round 3 Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Justino 8.6
fighter Finney 6.8
Fast finishes by Justino
1142 seconds Jul 13, 2013 vs Coenen
820 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
299 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
R2 KOX
1,9051,708
1,9291,683
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Justino
legend Finney
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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