UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Justino vs Coenen

1,993

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Justino

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
70% chance Justino
WILL WIN

1,846

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cristiane Justino
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 6.6 Around 50% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Younger 31 years vs 36 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 175 cm vs 171 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Marloes Coenen
Much better submission offense 8.4 vs 6.2 More than 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 175 cm vs 173 cm Almost the same
Justino on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Coenen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cristiane
Justino
In 10:57, how much damage will she do? Justino Coenen
Significant Strikes55
Justino's excellent striking offense will dominate Coenen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 10:57
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Justino's average takedown offense is matched by Coenen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:57
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Justino has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Justino is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Justino is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Coenen on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Justino’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Marloes
Coenen
In 10:57, how much damage will she do? Coenen Justino
Significant Strikes39
Coenen's average striking offense won't be a factor against Justino's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 99 Significant Strikes in 10:57
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Coenen's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Justino's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:57
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Coenen is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Coenen has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Coenen is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Justino 9.1
fighter Coenen 8.4
Great striking by Justino
52 strikes Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
40 strikes Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano
52 strikes Jul 26, 2008 vs Baszler

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Justino 8.2
fighter Coenen 7.7
Great takedowns by Justino
1 takedown Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
2 takedowns Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano
1 takedown Apr 11, 2009 vs Akano

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Justino 9.7
fighter Coenen 6.6
Great knockouts by Justino
Round 4 Jul 13, 2013 vs Coenen
Round 3 Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Justino 6.2
fighter Coenen 8.4
Great submissions by Coenen
Round 4 Mar 05, 2011 vs Carmouche
Round 3 Oct 09, 2010 vs Kaufman
Round 1 Nov 07, 2009 vs Modafferi

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Justino 8.6
fighter Coenen 8.0
Fast finishes by Justino
1142 seconds Jul 13, 2013 vs Coenen
820 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
299 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R4 KOX
R1 KOX
1,9431,887
1,9851,845
January 30, 2010Strikeforce - Miami
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
R1 KOX
1,8601,822
1,9051,778
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Justino
legend Coenen
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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