UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Justino vs Paes

1,993

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Justino

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
94% chance Justino
WILL WIN

1,521

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Cristiane Justino
Much heavier hands 9.7 vs 6.9 More than 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.5 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 7.3 More than 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better submission defense 8.8 vs 7.6 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much stronger jaw 8.5 vs 7.4 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 144 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Erica Paes
Much better submission offense 7.6 vs 6.2 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Justino on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Paes’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Cristiane
Justino
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Justino has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Justino is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Justino is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Paes on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Justino’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Erica
Paes
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Paes is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Paes is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Paes is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Justino 9.7
fighter Paes 6.9
Great knockouts by Justino
Round 4 Jul 13, 2013 vs Coenen
Round 3 Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
Round 1 Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Justino 6.2
fighter Paes 7.6
Great submissions by Paes
Round 1 Mar 26, 2015 vs Gomes
Round 1 Apr 27, 2013 vs Maciel
Round 1 May 17, 2005 vs Justino

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Justino 8.6
fighter Paes 7.5
Fast finishes by Justino
1142 seconds Jul 13, 2013 vs Coenen
820 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Coenen
299 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Carano
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 17, 2005SF - Showfight 2
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 KO
1,5001,500
1,4501,550
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Justino
legend Paes
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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