UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Finney vs Carmouche

1,578

CageRank

WINNER
Carmouche

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
68% chance Carmouche
WILL WIN

1,707

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Liz Carmouche
Fast finishes 7.6 vs 6.8 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 8.7 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better submission offense 7.0 vs 6.2 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.1 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 34 years vs 38 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 168 cm vs 163 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Better takedown defense 8.3 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Advantages for Jan Finney
Heavier 149 lbs vs 125 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Carmouche on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Finney’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Liz
Carmouche
In 11:28, how much damage will she do? Carmouche Finney
Significant Strikes65
Carmouche's average striking offense may be a factor against Finney's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:28
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Carmouche's average takedown offense is matched by Finney's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:28
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Carmouche has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Carmouche is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Carmouche is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Finney on the attack Our prediction about how she’ll perform against Carmouche’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jan
Finney
In 11:28, how much damage will she do? Finney Carmouche
Significant Strikes46
Finney's average striking offense is matched by Carmouche's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 103 Significant Strikes in 11:28
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Finney's average takedown offense is matched by Carmouche's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:28
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on her feet
If she wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Finney is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Finney is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Finney has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Carmouche 8.5
fighter Finney 8.4
Great striking by Carmouche
50 strikes Jul 27, 2013 vs Andrade
81 strikes Nov 19, 2010 vs Finney
15 strikes Aug 13, 2010 vs Schneider

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Carmouche 8.5
fighter Finney 8.4
Great takedowns by Carmouche
3 takedowns Jul 27, 2013 vs Andrade
3 takedowns Nov 19, 2010 vs Finney
2 takedowns Aug 13, 2010 vs Schneider

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Carmouche 7.9
fighter Finney 7.1
Great knockouts by Carmouche
Round 2 Jul 27, 2013 vs Andrade
Round 3 Nov 19, 2010 vs Finney
Round 2 Sep 30, 2010 vs Shevchenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Carmouche 7.0
fighter Finney 6.2
Great submissions by Carmouche
Round 2 Jul 28, 2012 vs Young
Round 2 May 29, 2010 vs Albertson

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Carmouche 7.6
fighter Finney 6.8
Fast finishes by Carmouche
537 seconds Jul 27, 2013 vs Andrade
514 seconds Jul 28, 2012 vs Young
690 seconds Nov 19, 2010 vs Finney
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
XR1 KO
1,6831,701
1,6361,748
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Carmouche
legend Finney
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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